O Over the last 29 years, the average temperature has trended upwards by about one degree. What will happen next? The changes we can expect are fairly clear, though the timing is uncertain because predictions are very complex, and because much depends on what happens elsewhere in the world.
the good news. Warming is going to happen quicker near the poles than
equator, and over big land masses rather than near the sea. Isaan may
get a bit
hotter, but generally
· But rainfall will become more erratic. The wet season will be wetter, and the dry season drier. There will be more flooding and flash flooding from huge downpours, and more droughts and shortages outside the monsoon season. Variability from place to place will increase, with one province swamped and its neighbour parched. Variability from year to year will also be more wayward. The dry El Nino years will be drier, and the wet La Nina years will be wetter. In short, both more floods and more droughts will make water management much tougher. (It's pretty obvious this is already happening.)
will raise the ocean levels. The UN's (conservative) prediction is a
rise of 20
to 80 centimetres in this century. In
· -The best warning of the impact of climate change for Thais could be on rice, the most viral grain farmed by 3.6 million families and the country's largest export.
· -Jasmine rice production in the northeastern region was found falling 45.5 percent between 1994 and 2005 because of increased drought and floods.
sea levels caused by melting ice and warming oceans could also hit
-Salination will affect some very valuable agricultural land. But overall, the impact on
Dr. Thirawat Hemachudha, a
· “If the temperature increases by 0.5-1.5 degrees Celsius it can affect the nature of the parasite. It can reproduce more easily and thus come into contact with humans more frequently,” he said.